Vancouver Whitecaps beat Real Salt Lake 3–0. Bawler's model had Vancouver Whitecaps in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Real Salt Lake had 12 shots (3 on target) to Vancouver Whitecaps' 21 (6), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 2.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Vancouver Whitecaps beat Real Salt Lake 3–0. Bawler's model had Vancouver Whitecaps in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Real Salt Lake had 12 shots (3 on target) to Vancouver Whitecaps' 21 (6), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 2.2.
Real Salt Lake 0–3 Vancouver Whitecaps, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Salt Lake 22%, the draw 23% and Vancouver Whitecaps 54%.
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–2.2, Shots 12–21, Shots on target 3–6, Shots inside box 7–11, Big chances 1–2, Corners 6–7, Saves 3–3, Fouls 13–14, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 2–5.
No. It finished 0–3, so Real Salt Lake failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Vancouver Whitecaps or draw 78%, it finished Vancouver Whitecaps won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Vancouver Whitecaps to win 54%, it finished Landed.