Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction — MLS · Sun 20 Sept · 02:30 UK

MLS · Sun 20 Sept · 02:30 UK
Real Salt Lake 22Draw 23Vancouver Whitecaps 54
Our call before kickoff
78%
Vancouver Whitecaps or draw
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
78%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
60%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
61%

How it finished

Vancouver Whitecaps beat Real Salt Lake 3–0. Bawler's model had Vancouver Whitecaps in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Real Salt Lake had 12 shots (3 on target) to Vancouver Whitecaps' 21 (6), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 2.2.

Real Salt…Full-time statsVancouver…
47%Possession53%
1.2Expected goals (xG)2.2
12Shots21
3Shots on target6
7Shots inside box11
1Big chances2
6Corners7
3Saves3
13Fouls14
3Offsides0
2Yellow cards5
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callVancouver Whitecaps or draw 78%Vancouver Whitecaps won (54% called)
Total goals3.13
Both teams to score60%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 82%Landed
Second pickVancouver Whitecaps to win 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Real Salt LakeVancouver Whitecaps
1.2
Goals+0.8
1.9
8.7
Shots+4.6
13.3
3.6
On target+3.1
6.7
3.4
Corners+2.3
5.8
Real Salt LakeVancouver Whitecaps
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.6
4.1
Shots+2.0
6.1
1.8
On target+1.0
2.8
1.6
Corners+1.1
2.7
Real Salt LakeVancouver Whitecaps
0.7
Goals+0.7
1.4
4.6
Shots+2.6
7.2
1.8
On target+2.1
3.9
1.8
Corners+1.2
3.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Vancouver Whitecaps to score86%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Real Salt Lake to score70%
Under 3.5 goals62%

First half — what we expected

Real Salt Lake
48%
to score before half-time
Vancouver Whitecaps
57%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%

Real Salt LakeVancouver Whitecaps
4.11st-half shots6.1
1.81st-half shots on target2.8
1.61st-half corners2.7

First-half chances

38%Chance of 5+ shots66%
16%Chance of 7+ shots40%
51%Chance of 2+ shots on target73%
13%Chance of 4+ shots on target32%
45%Chance of 2+ corners70%
11%Chance of 4+ corners30%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Real Salt Lake4.14.6
Shots · Vancouver Whitecaps6.17.2
Shots on target · Real Salt Lake1.81.8
Shots on target · Vancouver Whitecaps2.83.9
Corners · Real Salt Lake1.61.8
Corners · Vancouver Whitecaps2.73.1
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Real Salt Lake 2 · Draws 0 · Vancouver Whitecaps 3
Vancouver Whitecaps in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Feb 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 1–0 Real Salt Lake
May 2025Real Salt Lake 2–3 Vancouver Whitecaps
May 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1 Real Salt Lake
Oct 2024Real Salt Lake 2–1 Vancouver Whitecaps
Mar 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 1–2 Real Salt Lake
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Vancouver Whitecaps beat Real Salt Lake 3–0. Bawler's model had Vancouver Whitecaps in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Real Salt Lake had 12 shots (3 on target) to Vancouver Whitecaps' 21 (6), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 2.2.

What was the final score in Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Real Salt Lake 0–3 Vancouver Whitecaps, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Salt Lake 22%, the draw 23% and Vancouver Whitecaps 54%.

What were the stats in Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–2.2, Shots 12–21, Shots on target 3–6, Shots inside box 7–11, Big chances 1–2, Corners 6–7, Saves 3–3, Fouls 13–14, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 2–5.

Did both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

No. It finished 0–3, so Real Salt Lake failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Real Salt Lake vs Vancouver Whitecaps right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Vancouver Whitecaps or draw 78%, it finished Vancouver Whitecaps won (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Vancouver Whitecaps to win 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Real Salt Lake form →Vancouver Whitecaps form →