Russia vs Namibia prediction — International friendlies · Sat 3 Oct · 16:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Sat 3 Oct · 16:00 UK · Neutral venue
Russia 91Draw 8Namibia 2
Our call before kickoff
91%
Russia to win
Landed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 6–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
77%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
23%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
64%

How it finished

Russia beat Namibia 6–0. Bawler's model had Russia in front at 91% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 6. Russia had 24 shots (14 on target) to Namibia's 4 (0), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 3.4 to 0.2.

RussiaFull-time statsNamibia
65%Possession35%
3.4Expected goals (xG)0.2
24Shots4
14Shots on target0
15Shots inside box2
4Big chances1
7Corners0
0Saves9
8Fouls8
2Offsides2
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callRussia to win 91%Russia won (91% called)
Total goals3.36
Both teams to score23%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

RussiaNamibia
3.0
Goals+2.7
0.3
RussiaNamibia
0.7
Goals+0.6
0.1
RussiaNamibia
2.3
Goals+2.1
0.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals84%
Both teams to score — no77%
Over 2.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Russia
74%
to score before half-time
Namibia
11%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+2.7 / match
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Russia vs Namibia?

Russia beat Namibia 6–0. Bawler's model had Russia in front at 91% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 6. Russia had 24 shots (14 on target) to Namibia's 4 (0), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 3.4 to 0.2.

What was the final score in Russia vs Namibia?

Russia 6–0 Namibia, played on 03 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Russia 91%, the draw 8% and Namibia 2%.

What were the stats in Russia vs Namibia?

Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Expected goals (xG) 3.4–0.2, Shots 24–4, Shots on target 14–0, Shots inside box 15–2, Big chances 4–1, Corners 7–0, Saves 0–9, Fouls 8–8, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Russia vs Namibia?

No. It finished 6–0, so Namibia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 23% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Russia vs Namibia right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Russia to win 91%, it finished Russia won (91% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 23%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Namibia
All fixtures & results →Russia form →Namibia form →