San Jose Earthquakes v
LA Galaxy
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 82% because San Jose's 1.85 xG and superior 0.56 xG edge over Galaxy creates sustained attacking pressure despite Riqui Puig's creative threat for the visitors.
San Jose EarthquakesstepLA GalaxyModel probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
San Jose Earthquakes average 6.9 corners per game at home this season (21 competitive matches). LA Galaxy average 5.0 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
San Jose Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between San Jose Earthquakes and LA Galaxy — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: San Jose Earthquakes 48% · draw 28% · LA Galaxy 25%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 LA GalaxyModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.