Scotland vBrazil
Over 2.5 Goals sits at 75% probability because Brazil's 1.87 xG and Scotland's 1.01 xG combine to 2.89 total, a 0.86-goal cushion that makes the threshold highly likely.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Scotland average 4.5 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches). Brazil average 5.3 corners per game this season (4 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Scotland vs Brazil — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Scotland and Brazil — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Scotland 18% · draw 28% · Brazil 54%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.