Per-game numbers from 3 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026
Scotland prediction: Bawler's model rates Scotland at 1.34 expected goals scored and 1.38 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 40% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Scotland fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
Scotland sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.34 expected goals a game and conceding 1.38. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.00 goals a game against 1.34 expected. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Scotland have been correct 40% of the time.
Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →
How Scotland compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).
Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.