Seychelles vs Sri Lanka prediction — International friendlies · Sun 27 Sept · 13:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Sun 27 Sept · 13:00 UK · Neutral venue
Seychelles 29Draw 23Sri Lanka 48
Our call before kickoff
71%
Sri Lanka or draw
Landed
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
79%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
67%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
68%

How it finished

Sri Lanka beat Seychelles 3–0. Bawler's model had Sri Lanka in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Seychelles had 15 shots (7 on target) to Sri Lanka's 10 (6), with 55% of the ball against 45%.

SeychellesFull-time statsSri Lanka
55%Possession45%
15Shots10
7Shots on target6
7Corners2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSri Lanka or draw 71%Sri Lanka won (48% called)
Total goals3.53
Both teams to score67%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 87%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

SeychellesSri Lanka
1.5
Goals+0.5
2.0
SeychellesSri Lanka
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.6
SeychellesSri Lanka
1.0
Goals+0.4
1.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals87%
Sri Lanka to score86%
Seychelles to score78%
Over 2.5 goals68%

First half — what we expected

Seychelles
49%
to score before half-time
Sri Lanka
59%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 1Seychelles 0 · Draws 0 · Sri Lanka 1

Head to head

Sept 2026Seychelles 0–3 Sri Lanka
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Seychelles vs Sri Lanka?

Sri Lanka beat Seychelles 3–0. Bawler's model had Sri Lanka in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals and the match produced 3. Seychelles had 15 shots (7 on target) to Sri Lanka's 10 (6), with 55% of the ball against 45%.

What was the final score in Seychelles vs Sri Lanka?

Seychelles 0–3 Sri Lanka, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Seychelles 29%, the draw 23% and Sri Lanka 48%.

What were the stats in Seychelles vs Sri Lanka?

Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Shots 15–10, Shots on target 7–6, Corners 7–2.

Did both teams score in Seychelles vs Sri Lanka?

No. It finished 0–3, so Seychelles failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Seychelles vs Sri Lanka right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sri Lanka or draw 71%, it finished Sri Lanka won (48% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 87%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Seychelles
Next up
30 SeptHSri Lanka0–2 L
All fixtures & results →Seychelles form →Sri Lanka form →