Slovan Bratislava and NK Celje drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Slovan Bratislava at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Slovan Bratislava had 14 shots (2 on target) to NK Celje's 8 (4), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Slovan Bratislava and NK Celje drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Slovan Bratislava at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Slovan Bratislava had 14 shots (2 on target) to NK Celje's 8 (4), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.3.
Slovan Bratislava 1–1 NK Celje, played on 19 Aug 2026 in the EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with Slovan Bratislava 40%, the draw 27% and NK Celje 33%.
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.3, Shots 14–8, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 9–4, Big chances 2–0, Corners 4–0, Saves 3–1, Fouls 12–13, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 2–2.
Yes — both Slovan Bratislava and NK Celje scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Slovan Bratislava or draw 67%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.