Sporting Kansas City vHouston Dynamo FC
Over 1.5 Goals sits at 74% probability because both sides project evenly with combined xG of 2.81, creating consistent attacking threat despite Houston's marginal 39% win edge.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Sporting Kansas City average 5.8 corners per game at home this season (22 competitive matches). Houston Dynamo average 4.1 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Sporting Kansas City and Houston Dynamo — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Sporting Kansas City 30% · draw 31% · Houston Dynamo 39%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.