St. Louis CITY SC v
Sporting Kansas City
Over 1.5 Goals lands at 81% because St. Louis dominates the xG battle 2.06–0.96, giving them a decisive 1.10-shot quality edge at home.
Sporting Kansas CityModel probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
St. Louis City average 6.2 corners per game at home this season (22 competitive matches). Sporting Kansas City average 3.6 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
St. Louis CITY vs Sporting Kansas City — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between St. Louis CITY and Sporting Kansas City — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: St. Louis CITY 60% · draw 25% · Sporting Kansas City 15%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Sporting Kansas CityModel estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.