St. Louis CITY
St. Louis CITY operate as a defensively vulnerable outfit, conceding 1.29 xG per match against an anaemic attacking profile of 1.00 xG created—a combination that has seen them draw twice in their last four settled fixtures despite avoiding defeat. Their recent run shows moderate resilience without clinical finishing, leaving them dependent on defensive stability that the underlying metrics suggest remains fragile. With no immediate fixture on the horizon, Bawler's model users have backed this team profitably, posting a perfect 100% banker hit rate across four picks to date.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals St. Louis CITY were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the USA: MLS average — if the bar extends past the diamond, St. Louis CITY are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals St. Louis CITY actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from St. Louis CITY's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.
When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a St. Louis CITY fixture, the model lands 5 out of 5 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.