How it finished
Switzerland beat North Macedonia 3–0. Bawler's model had Switzerland in front at 94% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals and the match produced 3. Switzerland had 20 shots (7 on target) to North Macedonia's 3 (0), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 81%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Switzerland vs North Macedonia?
Switzerland beat North Macedonia 3–0. Bawler's model had Switzerland in front at 94% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals and the match produced 3. Switzerland had 20 shots (7 on target) to North Macedonia's 3 (0), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.3.
What was the final score in Switzerland vs North Macedonia?
Switzerland 3–0 North Macedonia, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Switzerland 94%, the draw 5% and North Macedonia 1%.
What were the stats in Switzerland vs North Macedonia?
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.3, Shots 20–3, Shots on target 7–0, Shots inside box 11–2, Big chances 4–1, Corners 8–3, Saves 0–4, Fouls 12–14, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Switzerland vs North Macedonia?
No. It finished 3–0, so North Macedonia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 21% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Switzerland vs North Macedonia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Switzerland to win 94%, it finished Switzerland won (94% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 21%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 3.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.