Tunisia vNetherlands
Over 2.5 Goals sits at 81% because Netherlands' 2.38 xG dwarfs Tunisia's 0.77, creating the offensive firepower gap this market demands.
Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.
Tunisia average 3.5 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches).
Most likely to score or assist
Probabilities from a per-player model on recent form and minutes played.
More predictions for these teams
Tunisia vs Netherlands — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Tunisia and Netherlands — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Tunisia 8% · draw 19% · Netherlands 73%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.