Per-game numbers from 5 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026
United States prediction: Bawler's model rates United States at 1.39 expected goals scored and 1.30 conceded per match across 6 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No United States fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.
United States sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.39 expected goals a game and conceding 1.30. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.00 a game against 1.39 expected. Across 6 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on United States have been correct 100% of the time.
The last 5 settled results, most recent first.
How United States compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.
The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).
Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.