PORTUGAL: Liga PortugalSaturday 08 Aug, 17:00 UTC

Vitória de Guimaraes vArouca

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Vitória de Guimaraes 49%Draw 31%Arouca 20%
Strongest call
Vitória de Guimaraes or draw
72%
How we get there
Vitória de GuimaraesstepArouca
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Vitória de Guimaraes or draw
72%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
Arouca or draw
27%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Vitória de Guimaraes average 5.5 corners per game at home this season (2 competitive matches). Arouca average 3.2 corners per game away from home this season (19 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Vitória de Guimaraes fixtures & form →Arouca fixtures & form →

Vitória de Guimaraes vs Arouca — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Vitória de Guimaraes and Arouca — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Vitória de Guimaraes 49% · draw 31% · Arouca 20%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Vitória de Guimaraes predictions & form →Arouca predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Vitória de Guimaraes 0–1 Arouca
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.