Arouca
Arouca operate as a modest attacking threat with an xG output of 1.29 per match, but their defensive profile is concerning at 1.58 conceded, suggesting vulnerability to clinical opponents. Their recent four-match winning streak masks an underlying structural fragility that tends to collapse against better-organised sides. With no fixtures in the current window, the prediction hub will update upon next match confirmation. Bawler's historical strike rate on Arouca remains limited at 25%, warranting patience on banker selections until larger sample data builds.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Arouca were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the Portugal: Primeira Liga average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Arouca are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Arouca actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Arouca's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.
How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Arouca fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Arouca matches.