FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Saturday, 22 August 2026
West Ham United 1–2 Charlton AthleticMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was West Ham United to win at 70%. Bawler had West Ham United at 70%, the draw at 20% and Charlton Athletic at 10%. The match finished 1–2.
Pre-match probability vs result
West Ham United win
70%
Draw
20%
Charlton Athletic win
10%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.1 – 0.7
Total 2.8
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.0 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 2.8.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
West Ham United or draw
Pre-match: 90%
Missed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 54%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 20%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.