Bawler / FRANCE: Ligue 1 / Angers
Team profile

Angers Prediction

Per-game numbers from 34 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
9.3
a game
14.4 faced
On target
3.3
a game
5.5 faced
Goals
0.8 – 1.4
scored – conceded
a game, 34 matches
Next match
22%
Angers win chance
vs Lille · Sun 23 Aug 13:00

Angers prediction: for Angers's next match — Angers vs Lille on Sunday 23 Aug, 13:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Lille are favoured (50%).

Angers sit close to the Ligue 1 average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.08 expected goals a game and conceding 1.54. Next up is Lille, where the model has them as underdogs at 22%.

Angers in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.8
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
Home 1.1Away 0.7
3.6
Corners · per game
give up 5.2
Home 4.1Away 3.0
9.3
Shots · per game
faced 14.4
Home 10.2Away 8.3
3.3
On target · per game
faced 5.5
Home 3.8Away 2.8
Last 6 games
17 May
1-1
@ Brest
3-6
10 May
1-1
vs Strasbourg
0-2
03 May
1-3
@ Auxerre
6-4
25 Apr
0-3
vs PSG
5-4
18 Apr
1-1
vs Le Havre
4-3
11 Apr
1-2
@ Rennes
3-11

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Lille · Sunday 23 Aug, 13:00 UTC

Win
22%
Angers
Draw
27%
Loss
50%
Lille
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Angers compare with the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average, per match.

Goals for
1.08
Below average
Goals against
1.54
Leakier than most
Record
0W 4D 2L
6 settled
Real goals
0.8 – 1.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.08
Conceded1.54

The grey line on each bar is the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average (1.35 scored, 1.50 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.08 xG per match · -0.27 above the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average of 1.35.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Angers fixtures (5/5).

How Bawler has done on Angers

100%
of high-confidence calls correct — 6 of 6, well above the ~65% baseline
Result100%5/5

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 6)

Sun 17 May@ Brest
High confidence: 1X
Sun 10 Mayvs Strasbourg
High confidence: X2
Sun 03 May@ Auxerre
High confidence: 1X
Sat 18 Aprvs Le Havre
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 05 Aprvs Lyon
High confidence: X2
Fri 20 Mar@ Lens
High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

INAmine El OuazzaniSTfrom BragaLoan
INAnthony BermontLWfrom LensLoan
INBranco van den BoomenCMfrom AjaxFree transfer
INAnthony LopesGKfrom NantesFree transfer
INUsman SimbakoliSTfrom RWDM Brussels€250k
OUTSidiki CherifSTto Fenerbahçe€18m
OUTMarius CourcoulDMto RAAL La LouviereLoan
OUTFlorent HaninLBto Nea SalamisFree transfer
OUTDan SinatéCBto AmiensLoan
OUTLanroy MachineSTto SC HeerenveenLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Angers and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly