Bawler / GERMANY: Bundesliga / Bayern Munich
Team profile

Bayern Munich Prediction

Per-game numbers from 48 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
19.0
a game
10.9 faced
On target
8.4
a game
3.6 faced
Goals
3.4 – 1.2
scored – conceded
a game, 48 matches
Corners
6.1
a game
3.6 against

Bayern Munich prediction: Bawler's model rates Bayern Munich at 2.75 expected goals scored and 1.32 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. No Bayern Munich fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Bayern Munich are the most complete profile in this data: creating 2.75 expected goals a game while giving up just 1.32. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Bayern Munich have been correct 100% of the time.

Bayern Munich in numbers

48 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
3.4
Goals · per game
let in 1.2
Home 3.7Away 3.2
6.1
Corners · per game
give up 3.6
Home 7.0Away 5.1
19.0
Shots · per game
faced 10.9
Home 21.2Away 16.7
8.4
On target · per game
faced 3.6
Home 8.5Away 8.2
Last 6 games
16 May
5-1
vs FC Koln
5-5
09 May
1-0
@ Wolfsburg
3-6
06 May
1-1
vs PSG
1-8
02 May
3-3
vs Heidenheim
13-5
28 Apr
4-5
@ PSG
5-2
25 Apr
4-3
@ Mainz
4-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Bayern Munich compare with the GERMANY: Bundesliga average, per match.

Goals for
2.75
Above average
Goals against
1.32
Tighter than most
Record
4W 1D 0L
5 settled
Real goals
2.8 – 1.4
For / against, per match
Scored2.75
Conceded1.32

The grey line on each bar is the GERMANY: Bundesliga average (1.67 scored, 1.69 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 2.75 xG per match · +1.09 above the GERMANY: Bundesliga average of 1.67.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.32 xG per match · -0.37 vs league average of 1.69.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Bayern Munich fixtures (3/3).

How Bawler has done on Bayern Munich

100%
of high-confidence calls correct — 5 of 5, well above the ~65% baseline
Result100%3/3
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Transfer activity

INNathaniel BrownLBfrom Eintracht Frankfurt€50m
INIsmael SaibariAMfrom PSV Eindhoven€50m
INBara NdiayeDMfrom Gambinos Stars€3.5m
OUTNoël AsékoAMto Eintracht Frankfurt€12m
OUTDaniel PeretzGKto Southampton€8m
OUTJonathan AspLWto Deportivo A Coruña€6m
OUTJonah Kusi-AsareSTto Fulham€6m
OUTAlexander NübelGKto Beşiktaş€5m
OUTMaurice KrattenmacherAMto ElversbergUndisclosed
OUTArmindo SiebSTto Los Angeles FCUndisclosed
OUTLovro ZvonarekCMto Estrela da Amadora€1.5m

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Bayern Munich and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly