Bawler / Portugal: Primeira Liga / Braga
Team profile

Braga Prediction

Per-game numbers from 51 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
11.3
a game
9.5 faced
On target
4.5
a game
3.4 faced
Goals
1.8 – 1.0
scored – conceded
a game, 51 matches
Corners
5.1
a game
3.1 against

Braga prediction: Bawler's model rates Braga at 1.45 expected goals scored and 1.47 conceded per match across 9 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. No Braga fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Braga sit close to the Primeira Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.45 expected goals a game and conceding 1.47. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Across 9 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Braga have been correct 100% of the time.

Braga in numbers

51 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.8
Goals · per game
let in 1.0
Home 2.0Away 1.6
5.1
Corners · per game
give up 3.1
Home 5.2Away 5.0
11.3
Shots · per game
faced 9.5
Home 10.9Away 11.7
4.5
On target · per game
faced 3.4
Home 4.1Away 4.8
Last 6 games
13 Aug
0-0
@ Dinamo Minsk
4-3
09 Aug
2-2
@ Moreirense
2-4
06 Aug
1-0
vs Dinamo Minsk
9-1
16 May
2-2
vs Estrela
7-1
11 May
2-2
@ Benfica
2-8
07 May
1-3
@ Freiburg
8-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Braga compare with the Portugal: Primeira Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.45
Above average
Goals against
1.47
Leakier than most
Record
2W 5D 2L
9 settled
Real goals
1.6 – 1.4
For / against, per match
Scored1.45
Conceded1.47

The grey line on each bar is the Portugal: Primeira Liga average (1.35 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Braga fixtures (5/5).

How Bawler has done on Braga

100%
of high-confidence calls correct — 9 of 9, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%5/5
Result100%3/3

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 9)

Transfer activity

INDiogo TravassosRWfrom Sporting CP€5.5m
INAdrian BarisicCBfrom Basel€3.8m
INGabriel SilvaLWfrom Santa Clara€3.5m
INAdrian BajramiCBfrom Luzern€2.8m
INJonas WindSTfrom WolfsburgFree transfer
INDenis HuseinbasicCMfrom 1. FC KölnFree transfer
INSergio BarciaCBfrom Legia Warszawa€1.5m
INBernardofrom Tondela€400k
OUTLukás HornícekGKto Newcastle United€30m
OUTRodrigo ZalazarRWto Sporting CP€30m
OUTIsmaël GharbiAMto LeganesLoan
OUTDjibril SoumaréCMto Stoke City€4m
OUTAmine El OuazzaniSTto AngersLoan
OUTAndré HortaDMto Almeria€1.5m
OUTSamy Jr. MerhegSTto AlvercaUndisclosed
OUTFlorian GrillitschCMto Free agentFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Braga and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly