Colombia beat Peru 2–0. Bawler's model had Colombia in front at 84% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Colombia had 16 shots (5 on target) to Peru's 5 (0), with 75% of the ball against 25%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Colombia beat Peru 2–0. Bawler's model had Colombia in front at 84% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Colombia had 16 shots (5 on target) to Peru's 5 (0), with 75% of the ball against 25%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.4.
Colombia 2–0 Peru, played on 07 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Colombia 84%, the draw 13% and Peru 4%.
Full-time: Possession 75%–25%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.4, Shots 16–5, Shots on target 5–0, Shots inside box 9–3, Big chances 2–0, Corners 12–0, Saves 0–3, Fouls 16–12, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 0–1.
No. It finished 2–0, so Peru failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 32% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Colombia to win 84%, it finished Colombia won (84% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 32%, it finished No.