Colombia vs Peru prediction — International friendlies · Wed 7 Oct · 00:45 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Wed 7 Oct · 00:45 UK · Neutral venue
Colombia 84Draw 13Peru 4
Our call before kickoff
84%
Colombia to win
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
74%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
32%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
58%

How it finished

Colombia beat Peru 2–0. Bawler's model had Colombia in front at 84% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Colombia had 16 shots (5 on target) to Peru's 5 (0), with 75% of the ball against 25%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.4.

ColombiaFull-time statsPeru
75%Possession25%
1.5Expected goals (xG)0.4
16Shots5
5Shots on target0
9Shots inside box3
2Big chances0
12Corners0
0Saves3
16Fouls12
4Offsides1
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callColombia to win 84%Colombia won (84% called)
Total goals3.02
Both teams to score32%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

ColombiaPeru
2.6
Goals+2.2
0.4
ColombiaPeru
0.7
Goals+0.5
0.2
ColombiaPeru
1.9
Goals+1.7
0.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Colombia to score93%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Both teams to score — no68%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Colombia
68%
to score before half-time
Peru
17%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+2.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Colombia 1 · Draws 2 · Peru 2

Head to head

Jun 2025Colombia 0–0 Peru
Sept 2024Peru 1–1 Colombia
Jan 2022Colombia 0–1 Peru
Jul 2021Colombia 3–2 Peru
Jun 2021Colombia 1–2 Peru
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Colombia vs Peru?

Colombia beat Peru 2–0. Bawler's model had Colombia in front at 84% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Colombia had 16 shots (5 on target) to Peru's 5 (0), with 75% of the ball against 25%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.4.

What was the final score in Colombia vs Peru?

Colombia 2–0 Peru, played on 07 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Colombia 84%, the draw 13% and Peru 4%.

What were the stats in Colombia vs Peru?

Full-time: Possession 75%–25%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.4, Shots 16–5, Shots on target 5–0, Shots inside box 9–3, Big chances 2–0, Corners 12–0, Saves 0–3, Fouls 16–12, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Colombia vs Peru?

No. It finished 2–0, so Peru failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 32% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Colombia vs Peru right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Colombia to win 84%, it finished Colombia won (84% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 32%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Colombia form →Peru form →