Coventry operate as a controlled, efficient outfit in the Championship, outscoring opponents by a meaningful margin (1.57 xG for versus 1.17 against) whilst maintaining defensive discipline. Their recent run has been solid—three wins and two draws across the last five settled fixtures show consistent form without the volatility that often derails mid-table sides. With no imminent fixture in the current window, the model remains well-positioned for their next assignment. Bawler's bankers on Coventry have landed at 80 per cent over this sample, suggesting our Poisson framework reads this team's patterns reliably.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Coventry were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the ENGLAND: Championship average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Coventry are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Coventry actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Coventry's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.
When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Coventry fixture, the model lands 4 out of 5 (80%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.