Arsenal vs Coventry City prediction — Premier League · Fri 21 Aug · 20:00 UK

Premier League · Fri 21 Aug · 20:00 UK
Arsenal 74Draw 18Coventry City 8
Our call before kickoff
74%
Arsenal to win
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
44%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
57%

How it finished

Arsenal beat Coventry City 3–0. Bawler's model had Arsenal in front at 74% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Arsenal had 20 shots (6 on target) to Coventry City's 4 (1), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.3.

ArsenalFull-time statsCoventry City
65%Possession35%
1.8Expected goals (xG)0.3
20Shots4
6Shots on target1
10Shots inside box1
1Big chances1
8Corners2
1Saves2
10Fouls13
5Offsides0
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callArsenal to win 74%Arsenal won (74% called)
Total goals3.03
Both teams to score44%No
Graded pickArsenal or draw 92%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

ArsenalCoventry City
2.3
Goals+1.7
0.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Arsenal to score90%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Under 3.5 goals65%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 2Arsenal 2 · Draws 0 · Coventry City 0
Coventry City in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Jan 2014Arsenal 4–0 Coventry City
Sept 2012Arsenal 6–1 Coventry City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Arsenal vs Coventry City?

Arsenal beat Coventry City 3–0. Bawler's model had Arsenal in front at 74% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Arsenal had 20 shots (6 on target) to Coventry City's 4 (1), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.3.

What was the final score in Arsenal vs Coventry City?

Arsenal 3–0 Coventry City, played on 21 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Arsenal 74%, the draw 18% and Coventry City 8%.

What were the stats in Arsenal vs Coventry City?

Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.3, Shots 20–4, Shots on target 6–1, Shots inside box 10–1, Big chances 1–1, Corners 8–2, Saves 1–2, Fouls 10–13, Offsides 5–0, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Arsenal vs Coventry City?

No. It finished 3–0, so Coventry City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 44% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Arsenal vs Coventry City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Arsenal to win 74%, it finished Arsenal won (74% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 44%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Arsenal or draw 92%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Premier League table →
All fixtures & results →Arsenal form →Coventry City form →