Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Coventry
Team profile

Coventry Prediction

Per-game numbers from 46 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
16.4
a game
11.8 faced
On target
5.5
a game
3.6 faced
Goals
2.1 – 1.0
scored – conceded
a game, 46 matches
Next match
8%
Coventry win chance
at Arsenal · Fri 21 Aug 19:00

Coventry prediction: for Coventry's next match — Arsenal vs Coventry on Friday 21 Aug, 19:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Arsenal are favoured (76%).

Coventry carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.57 expected goals per game against a Championship average of 1.27. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.20 a game against 1.57 expected. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Next up is a trip to Arsenal, where the model has them as underdogs at 8%.

Coventry in numbers

46 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
2.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.0
Home 2.2Away 2.0
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.3
Home 5.9Away 4.7
16.4
Shots · per game
faced 11.8
Home 18.2Away 14.7
5.5
On target · per game
faced 3.6
Home 5.7Away 5.3
Last 6 games
02 May
4-0
@ Watford
6-0
26 Apr
3-1
vs Wrexham
5-4
21 Apr
5-1
vs Portsmouth
2-1
17 Apr
1-1
@ Blackburn
3-3
11 Apr
0-0
vs Sheffield Wed
7-2
06 Apr
0-0
@ Hull
4-2

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Arsenal · Friday 21 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Win
8%
Coventry
Draw
16%
Loss
76%
Arsenal
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Coventry compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for
1.57
Above average
Goals against
1.17
Tighter than most
Record
3W 2D 0L
5 settled
Real goals
2.2 – 0.6
For / against, per match
Scored1.57
Conceded1.17

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.27 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.57 xG per match · +0.30 above the ENGLAND: Championship average of 1.27.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 75% of the time on Coventry fixtures (3/4).

How Bawler has done on Coventry

80%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 5, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)75%3/4

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Sat 02 May@ Watford
High confidence: X2
Fri 17 Apr@ Blackburn
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Mon 06 Apr@ Hull
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Fri 03 Aprvs Derby
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 21 Mar@ Swansea
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

FPL assets at this club (2026/27 projections)

OnyekaOnyekaMID · £5.0m · 0.2% owned2.5 pts
TorpTorpMID · £5.5m · 0.2% owned2.5 pts
GrimesGrimesMID · £5.0m · 0.2% owned2.5 pts
RushworthRushworthGKP · £4.5m · 0.9% owned2.4 pts
van Ewijkvan EwijkDEF · £4.0m · 15.1% owned2.4 pts
Next 5:ARS (A)HUL (H)MCI (A)BHA (H)NFO (A)

Full predicted points table → · Fixture difficulty matrix →

More on Coventry and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly