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Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Derby

Derby

ENGLAND: Championship

Derby operate as a modest attacking side with an xG profile of 1.21 per match, paired with defensive vulnerabilities conceding 1.34—a pattern suggesting they leak chances despite competitive intent. Recent form shows two wins from three settled fixtures, though the sample remains slim. With no immediate fixtures in the upcoming window, the model's next opportunity to assess their trajectory arrives later. Bawler has maintained a respectable 67% hit rate on Derby banker picks across this period, indicating reliable predictive traction on their matches.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.21-0.07 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.34+0.06 vs league
◇ = ENGLAND: Championship average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Derby were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the ENGLAND: Championship average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Derby are above average there.

> Form · last 3
Overall: 2W / 0D / 1L · Avg goals 1.7 for, 1.0 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Derby's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
3
3 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.21
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.34
per match
Banker Hit Rate
67%
2/3 picks

> Recent matches (last 3)

> More from Bawler