Derby County v
Cardiff City
Derby CountystepCardiff CityEarly projection
These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.
Derby average 5.3 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
Derby vs Cardiff City — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Derby and Cardiff City — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Derby 42% · draw 34% · Cardiff City 25%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.