Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Elche
Team profile

Elche Prediction

Per-game numbers from 38 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
10.8
a game
13.8 faced
On target
3.8
a game
4.8 faced
Goals
1.3 – 1.5
scored – conceded
a game, 38 matches
Next match
17%
Elche win chance
at Deportivo · Mon 17 Aug 19:00

Elche prediction: for Elche's next match — Deportivo vs Elche on Monday 17 Aug, 19:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Deportivo are favoured (53%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Elche sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.29 expected goals a game and conceding 1.50. Next up is a trip to Deportivo, where the model has them as underdogs at 17%.

Elche in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
Home 1.6Away 1.0
3.8
Corners · per game
give up 4.5
Home 4.8Away 2.8
10.8
Shots · per game
faced 13.8
Home 13.4Away 8.2
3.8
On target · per game
faced 4.8
Home 4.7Away 2.9
Last 6 games
23 May
1-1
@ Girona
1-2
17 May
1-0
vs Getafe
4-0
12 May
1-2
@ Real Betis
1-7
09 May
1-1
vs Alaves
7-3
03 May
1-3
@ Celta Vigo
2-4
26 Apr
2-1
@ Real Oviedo
1-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Deportivo · Monday 17 Aug, 19:00 UTC

Win
17%
Elche
Draw
30%
Loss
53%
Deportivo
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 78%
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Elche compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.29
Below average
Goals against
1.50
Leakier than most
Record
3W 2D 2L
7 settled
Real goals
1.1 – 1.0
For / against, per match
Scored1.29
Conceded1.50

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.29 xG per match · -0.15 above the Spain: La Liga average of 1.44.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on Elche fixtures (4/5).
Squad availability · Elche vs Deportivo
Fetching squad availability…

Injuries, suspensions and doubts for both squads, from FotMob. Updates as kickoff nears.

How Bawler has done on Elche

57%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 7
Goals (Over/Under)80%4/5

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Sun 23 Augvs Barcelona

Recent matches (last 7)

Sat 23 May@ Girona
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 17 Mayvs Getafe
High confidence: X2
Tue 12 May@ Real Betis
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 09 Mayvs Alavés
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 26 Apr@ Oviedo
High confidence: Oviedo or Draw (Double Chance)
Fri 03 Apr@ Rayo Vallecano
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 21 Marvs Mallorca
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INFacundo BuonanotteAMfrom Brighton & Hove AlbionLoan
INBuba SangaréCBfrom Roma€4.5m
INFer NiñoSTfrom Burgos CF€4m
INVictor ChustCBfrom CadizUndisclosed
INEzequiel PonceSTfrom Houston Dynamo FC€2m
INJavi MorcilloCMfrom Atletico Madrid€1.5m
INTiziano PerrottaSTfrom BanfieldUndisclosed
INGonzalo VillarCMfrom Dinamo ZagrebUndisclosed
OUTÁlvaro RodriguezSTto AFC Bournemouth€25m
OUTAleix FebasCMto Celta VigoUndisclosed
OUTAndré SilvaSTto FC PortoFree transfer
OUTAndré SilvaSTto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTTiziano PerrottaSTto Defensa y JusticiaLoan
OUTLéo PétrotCBto AnderlechtFree transfer
OUTBema SinaLBto Rayo MajadahondaFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Elche and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly