Deportivo vs Elche prediction — LaLiga · Mon 17 Aug · 20:00 UK

LaLiga · Mon 17 Aug · 20:00 UK
Deportivo 53Draw 30Elche 17
Our call before kickoff
83%
Deportivo or draw
Landed
2.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
45%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
44%

How it finished

Deportivo and Elche drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Deportivo at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 2. Deportivo had 8 shots (3 on target) to Elche's 11 (6), with 39% of the ball against 61%.

DeportivoFull-time statsElche
39%Possession61%
8Shots11
3Shots on target6
2Corners7
5Saves2
17Fouls12
2Offsides0
2Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callDeportivo or draw 83%Draw (30% called)
Total goals2.42
Both teams to score45%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed
Second pickUnder 2.5 goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

DeportivoElche
1.6
Goals+0.8
0.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Deportivo to score81%
Under 3.5 goals77%
Over 1.5 goals70%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Deportivo 1 · Draws 2 · Elche 2
Elche in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Jun 2025Deportivo A Coruña 0–4 Elche
Oct 2024Elche 0–0 Deportivo A Coruña
Jun 2020Elche 0–1 Deportivo A Coruña
Nov 2019Deportivo A Coruña 1–3 Elche
Jun 2019Elche 0–0 Deportivo A Coruña
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Deportivo vs Elche?

Deportivo and Elche drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Deportivo at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 2. Deportivo had 8 shots (3 on target) to Elche's 11 (6), with 39% of the ball against 61%.

What was the final score in Deportivo vs Elche?

Deportivo 1–1 Elche, played on 17 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Deportivo 53%, the draw 30% and Elche 17%.

What were the stats in Deportivo vs Elche?

Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Shots 8–11, Shots on target 3–6, Corners 2–7, Saves 5–2, Fouls 17–12, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Deportivo vs Elche?

Yes — both Deportivo and Elche scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Deportivo vs Elche right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Deportivo or draw 83%, it finished Draw (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Deportivo form →Elche form →