Deportivo and Elche drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Deportivo at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 2. Deportivo had 8 shots (3 on target) to Elche's 11 (6), with 39% of the ball against 61%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Deportivo and Elche drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Deportivo at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 2. Deportivo had 8 shots (3 on target) to Elche's 11 (6), with 39% of the ball against 61%.
Deportivo 1–1 Elche, played on 17 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Deportivo 53%, the draw 30% and Elche 17%.
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Shots 8–11, Shots on target 3–6, Corners 2–7, Saves 5–2, Fouls 17–12, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 2–2.
Yes — both Deportivo and Elche scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Deportivo or draw 83%, it finished Draw (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.