How it finished
Germany beat Serbia 2–0. Bawler's model had Germany in front at 93% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Germany had 32 shots (8 on target) to Serbia's 1 (1), with 74% of the ball against 26%. Expected goals finished 3.9 to 0.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 84%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Germany vs Serbia?
Germany beat Serbia 2–0. Bawler's model had Germany in front at 93% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Germany had 32 shots (8 on target) to Serbia's 1 (1), with 74% of the ball against 26%. Expected goals finished 3.9 to 0.0.
What was the final score in Germany vs Serbia?
Germany 2–0 Serbia, played on 01 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Germany 93%, the draw 6% and Serbia 1%.
What were the stats in Germany vs Serbia?
Full-time: Possession 74%–26%, Expected goals (xG) 3.9–0.0, Shots 32–1, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 21–0, Big chances 7–1, Corners 12–1, Saves 1–6, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 0–3.
Did both teams score in Germany vs Serbia?
No. It finished 2–0, so Serbia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 34% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Germany vs Serbia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Germany to win 93%, it finished Germany won (93% called); Total goals — we said 4.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 34%, it finished No.