How it finished
Greece and Germany drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Germany at 67% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 20%. It forecast 3.0 goals; nobody scored. Greece had 5 shots (2 on target) to Germany's 21 (4), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Greece vs Germany?
Greece and Germany drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Germany at 67% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 20%. It forecast 3.0 goals; nobody scored. Greece had 5 shots (2 on target) to Germany's 21 (4), with 30% of the ball against 70%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Greece vs Germany?
Greece 0–0 Germany, played on 04 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Greece 13%, the draw 20% and Germany 67%.
What were the stats in Greece vs Germany?
Full-time: Possession 30%–70%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.1, Shots 5–21, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 5–10, Big chances 2–1, Corners 2–3, Saves 4–2, Fouls 8–17, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Greece vs Germany?
No. It finished 0–0, so Greece failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Greece vs Germany right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Germany to win 67%, it finished Draw (20% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No.