Bawler / Italy: Serie A / Lazio
Team profile

Lazio Prediction

Per-game numbers from 38 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
11.0
a game
13.3 faced
On target
4.1
a game
4.2 faced
Goals
1.1 – 1.1
scored – conceded
a game, 38 matches
Next match
25%
Lazio win chance
at Bologna · Mon 24 Aug 16:30

Lazio prediction: for Lazio's next match — Bologna vs Lazio on Monday 24 Aug, 16:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Bologna are favoured (44%).

Lazio sit close to the Serie A average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.12 expected goals a game and conceding 1.41. Next up is a trip to Bologna, where the model has them as underdogs at 25%.

Lazio in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.1
Home 1.4Away 0.7
3.7
Corners · per game
give up 4.2
Home 4.6Away 2.9
11.0
Shots · per game
faced 13.3
Home 12.2Away 9.8
4.1
On target · per game
faced 4.2
Home 4.7Away 3.5
Last 6 games
23 May
2-1
vs Pisa
5-1
17 May
0-2
@ Roma
3-8
09 May
0-3
vs Inter Milan
5-1
04 May
2-1
@ Cremonese
3-3
27 Apr
3-3
vs Udinese
4-5
18 Apr
2-0
@ Napoli
0-12

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Bologna · Monday 24 Aug, 16:30 UTC

Win
25%
Lazio
Draw
31%
Loss
44%
Bologna
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Lazio compare with the Italy: Serie A average, per match.

Goals for
1.12
Below average
Goals against
1.41
Leakier than most
Record
3W 0D 2L
5 settled
Real goals
1.2 – 1.2
For / against, per match
Scored1.12
Conceded1.41

The grey line on each bar is the Italy: Serie A average (1.24 scored, 1.32 conceded).

How Bawler has done on Lazio

60%
of high-confidence calls correct — 3 of 5
Result50%2/4

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Sat 23 Mayvs Pisa
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 17 May@ AS Roma
High confidence: 1X
Sat 09 Mayvs Internazionale
High confidence: X2
Sat 18 Apr@ Napoli
High confidence: 1X
Sun 22 Mar@ Bologna
High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

INBoulaye DiaSTfrom Salernitana€11m
INDanilho DoekhiCBfrom Free agentFree transfer
INDavide FrattesiCMfrom InterLoan
INAlfonso PedrazaLBfrom Free agentFree transfer
OUTMario GilaCBto Milan€30m
OUTMarcos Antônioto Sao PauloLoan
OUTIvan ProvedelGKto Inter€3m
OUTToma BasicCMto VeneziaFree transfer
OUTSaná FernandesRMto Juve StabiaLoan
OUTElseid HysajRBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTPedroLWto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTAlessandro MilaniLBto InterUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Lazio and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly