How it finished
Lazio beat Bologna 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Bologna at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lazio 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Bologna had 14 shots (5 on target) to Lazio's 10 (3), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 0.6, so Bologna created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 53%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Bologna vs Lazio?
Lazio beat Bologna 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Bologna at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lazio 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals; only 1 was scored. Bologna had 14 shots (5 on target) to Lazio's 10 (3), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 0.6, so Bologna created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Bologna vs Lazio?
Bologna 0–1 Lazio, played on 24 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bologna 44%, the draw 28% and Lazio 28%.
What were the stats in Bologna vs Lazio?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.6, Shots 14–10, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 11–5, Big chances 3–1, Corners 8–6, Saves 2–3, Fouls 18–19, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 4–4.
Did both teams score in Bologna vs Lazio?
No. It finished 0–1, so Bologna failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Bologna vs Lazio right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bologna or draw 72%, it finished Lazio won (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.