Nantes
Nantes remain a porous defensive outfit conceding 1.62 xG per match, whilst their attacking output of 1.25 xG suggests limited firepower in the final third. Recent form has been poor—four settled fixtures yielding just one draw and three losses—indicating the underlying metrics are translating into real-world struggles. With no imminent fixtures in the current window, the focus shifts to monitoring whether Nantes can tighten their back line in coming weeks. Bawler's banker selections have landed at 50% on this side, reflecting the volatility that comes with backing a team caught between inconsistent attacking and fragile defending.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Nantes were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Nantes are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Nantes actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Nantes's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.