Bawler / FRANCE: Ligue 1 / Nantes
Team profile

Nantes Prediction

Per-game numbers from 36 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
11.3
a game
13.0 faced
On target
3.2
a game
4.7 faced
Goals
0.8 – 1.5
scored – conceded
a game, 36 matches
Corners
3.8
a game
5.6 against

Nantes prediction: Bawler's model rates Nantes at 1.26 expected goals scored and 1.55 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 60% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Nantes fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Nantes sit close to the Ligue 1 average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.26 expected goals a game and conceding 1.55. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.60 goals a game against 1.26 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 5. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Nantes have been correct 60% of the time.

Nantes in numbers

36 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.8
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
Home 1.0Away 0.7
3.8
Corners · per game
give up 5.6
Home 3.9Away 3.6
11.3
Shots · per game
faced 13.0
Home 11.6Away 10.9
3.2
On target · per game
faced 4.7
Home 3.3Away 3.1
Last 6 games
14 Aug
1-2
@ Laval
7-2
08 Aug
0-1
vs Red Star
4-8
17 May
0-0
vs Toulouse
2-2
08 May
0-1
@ Lens
3-8
02 May
3-0
vs Marseille
7-8
26 Apr
1-2
@ Rennes
8-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Nantes compare with the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average, per match.

Goals for
1.26
Below average
Goals against
1.55
Leakier than most
Record
0W 2D 3L
5 settled
Real goals
0.6 – 1.2
For / against, per match
Scored1.26
Conceded1.55

The grey line on each bar is the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average (1.35 scored, 1.50 conceded).

What the data says
Tough market: Goals (Over/Under)
Nantes matches give the model a harder read here — 1/3 (33%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

How Bawler has done on Nantes

60%
of high-confidence calls correct — 3 of 5
Goals (Over/Under)33%1/3

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

More on Nantes and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly