How it finished
Portugal beat Norway 2–1. Bawler's model had Portugal in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Portugal had 20 shots (7 on target) to Norway's 9 (3), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Portugal vs Norway?
Portugal beat Norway 2–1. Bawler's model had Portugal in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Portugal had 20 shots (7 on target) to Norway's 9 (3), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Portugal vs Norway?
Portugal 2–1 Norway, played on 04 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Portugal 53%, the draw 23% and Norway 24%.
What were the stats in Portugal vs Norway?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.5, Shots 20–9, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 11–6, Big chances 3–0, Corners 6–4, Saves 2–5, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 4–0, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Portugal vs Norway?
Yes — both Portugal and Norway scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Portugal vs Norway right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Portugal or draw 76%, it finished Portugal won (53% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Portugal to win 53%, it finished Landed.