World Cup 2026 — kicks off 11 June.See predictions →
Bawler / FRANCE: Ligue 1 / Paris
Paris crest

Paris

FRANCE: Ligue 1

Paris operate as a controlled attacking side with modest output (1.58 xG per match) balanced against a relatively porous defence conceding 1.25 xG, suggesting vulnerability to clinical opposition. Recent form shows inconsistency—two wins, a draw, and a loss across their last four settled fixtures—indicating they lack consistent penetration despite defensive stability. With no fixtures currently in the prediction window, the model remains positioned for their next domestic assignment. Bawler's banker record on Paris sits at 50% conversion, reflecting the unpredictability baked into their underlying metrics.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.58+0.18 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.250.23 vs league
◇ = FRANCE: Ligue 1 average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Paris were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Paris are above average there.

> xG performance · last 4 matches
0123vs Le Havre: actual 3, xG 1.93@ Lorient: actual 1, xG 1.73vs Lille: actual 0, xG 1.45vs PSG: actual 2, xG 1.19Le Hav@LorienLillePSG
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -0.3 goals vs xG (-0.08/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Paris actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.58 xG per match · +0.18 above the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average of 1.40.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.25 xG per match · -0.23 vs league average of 1.48.
> Form · last 4
Overall: 2W / 1D / 1L · Avg goals 1.5 for, 1.3 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Paris's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
4
4 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.58
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.25
per match
Banker Hit Rate
50%
2/4 picks

> Recent matches (last 4)

> More from Bawler