Troyes and Paris FC drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Paris FC at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Troyes had 9 shots (2 on target) to Paris FC's 10 (1), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 1.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Troyes and Paris FC drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Paris FC at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Troyes had 9 shots (2 on target) to Paris FC's 10 (1), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 1.8.
Troyes 0–0 Paris FC, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Troyes 35%, the draw 27% and Paris FC 38%.
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–1.8, Shots 9–10, Shots on target 2–1, Shots inside box 7–5, Big chances 0–2, Corners 6–2, Saves 1–2, Fouls 8–14, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–1.
No. It finished 0–0, so Troyes failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Paris FC or draw 65%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.