Bawler / Italy: Serie A / Pisa
Team profile

Pisa Prediction

Per-game numbers from 38 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
9.6
a game
14.4 faced
On target
2.8
a game
4.7 faced
Goals
0.7 – 1.9
scored – conceded
a game, 38 matches
Corners
3.5
a game
4.8 against

Pisa prediction: Bawler's model rates Pisa at 1.12 expected goals scored and 1.48 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 80% of the time. They have lost their last 5 settled matches. No Pisa fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Pisa sit close to the Serie A average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.12 expected goals a game and conceding 1.48. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.20 goals a game against 1.12 expected. Recent form is poor — 5 defeats in a row. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Pisa have been correct 80% of the time.

Pisa in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.7
Goals · per game
let in 1.9
Home 0.5Away 0.9
3.5
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
Home 3.8Away 3.3
9.6
Shots · per game
faced 14.4
Home 10.2Away 8.9
2.8
On target · per game
faced 4.7
Home 3.1Away 2.5
Last 6 games
23 May
1-2
@ Lazio
1-5
17 May
0-3
vs Napoli
1-6
10 May
0-3
@ Cremonese
1-7
01 May
1-2
vs Lecce
6-1
25 Apr
0-1
@ Parma
4-7
19 Apr
1-2
vs Genoa
5-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Pisa compare with the Italy: Serie A average, per match.

Goals for
1.12
Below average
Goals against
1.48
Leakier than most
Record
0W 0D 5L
5 settled
Real goals
0.2 – 2.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.12
Conceded1.48

The grey line on each bar is the Italy: Serie A average (1.24 scored, 1.32 conceded).

What the data says
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.48 xG per match · +0.15 vs league average of 1.32.
5-match losing run
Form line shows consecutive losses in their most recent settled fixtures. Confidence is low going into the next match.

How Bawler has done on Pisa

80%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 5, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)67%2/3
Result100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

More on Pisa and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly