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Bawler / Italy: Serie A / Pisa

Pisa

Italy: Serie A

Pisa operate as a fragile attacking unit, generating just 1.15 xG per match whilst conceding 1.49—a profile that leaves little margin for error. A four-match losing streak compounds the vulnerability, though the underlying shot data suggests variance rather than structural collapse. With no fixture scheduled in the immediate window, focus remains on stabilising both ends before the next assignment. Bawler's model has identified Pisa banker opportunities at a 75% strike rate, indicating reliable edge detection when the conditions align.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.12-0.08 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.48+0.12 vs league
◇ = Italy: Serie A average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Pisa were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the Italy: Serie A average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Pisa are above average there.

> xG performance · last 5 matches
012345@ Como: actual 0, xG 0.90vs Torino: actual 0, xG 1.17@ Cremonese: actual 0, xG 1.41vs Napoli: actual 0, xG 1.11@ Lazio: actual 1, xG 1.02@ComoTorino@CremonNapoli@Lazio
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -4.6 goals vs xG (-0.92/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Pisa actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
5-match losing run
Form line shows consecutive losses in their most recent settled fixtures. Confidence is low going into the next match.
> Form · last 5
Overall: 0W / 0D / 5L · Avg goals 0.2 for, 2.8 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Pisa's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
5
5 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.12
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.48
per match
Banker Hit Rate
80%
4/5 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Pisa matches
80%
hit rate over 5 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Pisa fixture, the model lands 4 out of 5 (80%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Bawler's record on Pisa by market
Goals (Over/Under)67%2/3
Result100%2/2

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Pisa fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Pisa matches.

> Recent matches (last 5)

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