How it finished
Everton beat Preston North End 4–0. Bawler's model had Everton in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Preston North End had 5 shots (1 on target) to Everton's 29 (10), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 3.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Preston North End vs Everton?
Everton beat Preston North End 4–0. Bawler's model had Everton in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Preston North End had 5 shots (1 on target) to Everton's 29 (10), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 3.9.
What was the final score in Preston North End vs Everton?
Preston North End 0–4 Everton, played on 26 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Preston North End 15%, the draw 21% and Everton 63%.
What were the stats in Preston North End vs Everton?
Full-time: Possession 33%–67%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–3.9, Shots 5–29, Shots on target 1–10, Shots inside box 4–17, Big chances 0–5, Corners 3–5, Saves 6–1, Fouls 3–6, Offsides 1–4.
Did both teams score in Preston North End vs Everton?
No. It finished 0–4, so Preston North End failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Preston North End vs Everton right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Everton to win 63%, it finished Everton won (63% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No.