Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Preston
Team profile

Preston Prediction

Per-game numbers from 50 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
10.9
a game
14.1 faced
On target
3.5
a game
4.1 faced
Goals
1.2 – 1.4
scored – conceded
a game, 50 matches
Next match
42%
Preston win chance
vs Wolverhampton · Sat 22 Aug 14:00

Preston prediction: for Preston's next match — Preston vs Wolverhampton on Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Preston win looks most likely (42%).

Preston sit close to the Championship average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.11 expected goals a game and conceding 1.44. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 1.50 a game against 1.11 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 5. Next up is Wolverhampton Wanderers, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 42%.

Preston in numbers

50 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
Home 1.3Away 1.2
4.5
Corners · per game
give up 6.2
Home 5.4Away 3.6
10.9
Shots · per game
faced 14.1
Home 11.2Away 10.6
3.5
On target · per game
faced 4.1
Home 3.4Away 3.8
Last 6 games
15 Aug
1-2
@ Bolton
2-5
15 Aug
1-2
@ Bolton Wanderers
2-5
08 Aug
2-1
vs Huddersfield
7-6
08 Aug
2-1
vs Huddersfield Town
7-6
02 May
1-3
vs Southampton
10-5
25 Apr
3-2
@ Sheffield United
5-10

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Wolverhampton · Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win
42%
Preston
Draw
34%
Loss
24%
Opponent
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Preston compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for
1.11
Below average
Goals against
1.44
Leakier than most
Record
2W 1D 3L
6 settled
Real goals
1.5 – 1.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.11
Conceded1.44

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.27 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.11 xG per match · -0.16 above the ENGLAND: Championship average of 1.27.
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.44 xG per match · +0.16 vs league average of 1.28.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Preston fixtures (4/4).

How Bawler has done on Preston

100%
of high-confidence calls correct — 6 of 6, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%4/4
Result100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Wed 26 Augvs Everton

Recent matches (last 6)

Sat 15 Aug@ Bolton Wanderers
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 08 Augvs Huddersfield Town
High confidence: Preston North End or Draw
Sat 02 Mayvs Southampton
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 18 Aprvs West Brom
High confidence: X2
Fri 03 Apr@ Leicester
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Fri 20 Marvs Stoke
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

More on Preston and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly