Bawler / Germany: Bundesliga / RB Leipzig
Team profile

RB Leipzig Prediction

Per-game numbers from 34 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
15.8
a game
12.1 faced
On target
6.0
a game
4.0 faced
Goals
1.9 – 1.4
scored – conceded
a game, 34 matches
Corners
5.3
a game
4.3 against

RB Leipzig prediction: Bawler's model rates RB Leipzig at 1.98 expected goals scored and 1.49 conceded per match across 4 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 4 settled matches. No RB Leipzig fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

RB Leipzig are the most complete profile in this data: creating 1.98 expected goals a game while giving up just 1.49. Recent form is good, with 3 wins in their last 4. Across 4 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on RB Leipzig have been correct 100% of the time.

RB Leipzig in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.9
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
Home 2.4Away 1.5
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.3
Home 5.9Away 4.7
15.8
Shots · per game
faced 12.1
Home 17.3Away 14.3
6.0
On target · per game
faced 4.0
Home 7.3Away 4.7
Last 6 games
16 May
1-4
@ Freiburg
2-1
09 May
2-1
vs St. Pauli
3-5
02 May
1-4
@ Bayer Leverkusen
3-7
24 Apr
3-1
vs Union Berlin
10-4
18 Apr
3-1
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
6-4
11 Apr
1-0
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
11-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How RB Leipzig compare with the Germany: Bundesliga average, per match.

Goals for
1.98
Above average
Goals against
1.49
Tighter than most
Record
3W 0D 1L
4 settled
Real goals
2.8 – 1.5
For / against, per match
Scored1.98
Conceded1.49

The grey line on each bar is the Germany: Bundesliga average (1.60 scored, 1.77 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.98 xG per match · +0.39 above the Germany: Bundesliga average of 1.60.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.49 xG per match · -0.28 vs league average of 1.77.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on RB Leipzig fixtures (4/4).

Recent matches (last 4)

Transfer activity

INMaxime EstèveCBfrom Burnley€25m
INRocco ReitzDMfrom Borussia Mönchengladbach€20m
INOta YamamotoAMfrom Kashiwa Reysol€500k
INØrjan Håskjold NylandGKfrom Free agentFree transfer
OUTYan DiomandeRWto Real Madrid€125m
OUTLoïs OpendaSTto Juventus€43m
OUTPéter GulácsiGKto Villarreal€2m
OUTTimo SchlieckGKto SC VerlLoan
OUTFaik Sakarto AugsburgFree transfer
OUTFrederik JäkelCBto Eintracht BraunschweigFree transfer
OUTOta YamamotoAMto RB Omiya ArdijaLoan
OUTJamie Schuldesto FC UtrechtFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on RB Leipzig and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly