Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Real Oviedo
Team profile

Real Oviedo Prediction

Per-game numbers from 39 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
9.8
a game
14.8 faced
On target
3.1
a game
5.5 faced
Goals
0.7 – 1.5
scored – conceded
a game, 39 matches
Corners
3.9
a game
5.5 against

Real Oviedo prediction: Bawler's model rates Real Oviedo at 1.14 expected goals scored and 1.52 conceded per match across 8 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 75% of the time. They have lost their last 3 settled matches. No Real Oviedo fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Real Oviedo sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.14 expected goals a game and conceding 1.52. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.50 goals a game against 1.14 expected. Recent form is poor — 3 defeats in a row. Across 8 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Real Oviedo have been correct 75% of the time.

Real Oviedo in numbers

39 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.7
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
Home 0.5Away 0.9
3.9
Corners · per game
give up 5.5
Home 4.5Away 3.3
9.8
Shots · per game
faced 14.8
Home 9.9Away 9.6
3.1
On target · per game
faced 5.5
Home 3.1Away 3.2
Last 6 games
15 Aug
0-0
vs Granada
3-2
23 May
0-3
@ Mallorca
5-5
17 May
0-1
vs Alaves
5-2
14 May
0-2
@ Real Madrid
5-4
10 May
0-0
vs Getafe
1-9
03 May
0-3
@ Real Betis
4-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Real Oviedo compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.14
Below average
Goals against
1.52
Leakier than most
Record
1W 1D 6L
8 settled
Real goals
0.5 – 1.9
For / against, per match
Scored1.14
Conceded1.52

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.14 xG per match · -0.30 above the Spain: La Liga average of 1.44.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 80% of the time on Real Oviedo fixtures (4/5).
3-match losing run
Form line shows consecutive losses in their most recent settled fixtures. Confidence is low going into the next match.

How Bawler has done on Real Oviedo

75%
of high-confidence calls correct — 6 of 8, well above the ~65% baseline
Result80%4/5
Goals (Over/Under)100%2/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 8)

Sat 23 May@ Mallorca
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 17 Mayvs Alavés
High confidence: X2
Thu 14 May@ Real Madrid
High confidence: 1X
Sun 10 Mayvs Getafe
High confidence: X2
Sun 03 May@ Betis
High confidence: 1X
Sun 26 Aprvs Elche
High confidence: Oviedo or Draw (Double Chance)
Sun 05 Aprvs Sevilla
High confidence: X2
Sat 21 Mar@ Levante
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

More on Real Oviedo and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly