Bawler / FRANCE: Ligue 1 / Rennes
Team profile

Rennes Prediction

Per-game numbers from 34 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
14.2
a game
13.5 faced
On target
5.0
a game
4.3 faced
Goals
1.7 – 1.5
scored – conceded
a game, 34 matches
Corners
6.0
a game
4.6 against

Rennes prediction: Bawler's model rates Rennes at 1.49 expected goals scored and 1.41 conceded per match across 3 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 67% of the time. Their last 3 settled matches read 1W 1D 1L. No Rennes fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Rennes sit close to the Ligue 1 average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.49 expected goals a game and conceding 1.41. Across 3 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Rennes have been correct 67% of the time.

Rennes in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.7
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
Home 1.8Away 1.7
6.0
Corners · per game
give up 4.6
Home 6.5Away 5.5
14.2
Shots · per game
faced 13.5
Home 15.8Away 12.5
5.0
On target · per game
faced 4.3
Home 5.4Away 4.5
Last 6 games
17 May
1-3
@ Marseille
11-4
10 May
2-1
vs Paris
8-2
03 May
2-4
@ Lyon
5-7
26 Apr
2-1
vs Nantes
6-8
19 Apr
3-0
@ Strasbourg
9-2
11 Apr
2-1
vs Angers
11-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Rennes compare with the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average, per match.

Goals for
1.49
Above average
Goals against
1.41
Tighter than most
Record
1W 1D 1L
3 settled
Real goals
1.3 – 1.7
For / against, per match
Scored1.49
Conceded1.41

The grey line on each bar is the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average (1.35 scored, 1.50 conceded).

Recent matches (last 3)

Transfer activity

INEliezer MayendaSTfrom Sunderland€22m
INBryan ReynoldsRBfrom Westerlo€4.6m
INGonçalo OliveiraCBfrom Benfica€3.5m
INIssa SoumaréSTfrom Le HavreFree transfer
INCharlie CresswellCBfrom ToulouseLoan
INAdrien ThomassonDMfrom LensFree transfer
INNicolas LemaîtreGKfrom TroyesFree transfer
OUTAlbert GrønbækLWto Hamburger SV€4.7m
OUTMikayil FayeCBto 1. FC NürnbergLoan
OUTGlen KamaraCMto Queens Park RangersLoan
OUTYassir ZabiriSTto Racing SantanderLoan
OUTNordan Mukieleto MontpellierLoan
OUTRayan BambaRMto Le MansLoan
OUTMathys SilistrieGKto QuevillyLoan
OUTLucas Rosierto ConcarneauLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Rennes and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly