Bawler / World: World Cup / South Korea
Team profile

South Korea Prediction

Per-game numbers from 3 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
8.5
a game
10.5 faced
On target
2.5
a game
4.0 faced
Goals
0.7 – 1.0
scored – conceded
a game, 3 matches
Corners
4.0
a game
2.0 against

South Korea prediction: Bawler's model rates South Korea at 1.53 expected goals scored and 1.26 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 20% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No South Korea fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

South Korea sit close to the World Cup average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.53 expected goals a game and conceding 1.26. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 0.60 goals a game against 1.53 expected. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on South Korea have been correct 20% of the time.

South Korea in numbers

3 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.7
Goals · per game
let in 1.0
Home 2.0Away 0.0
4.0
Corners · per game
give up 2.0
Away 4.0
8.5
Shots · per game
faced 10.5
Away 8.5
2.5
On target · per game
faced 4.0
Away 2.5
Last 3 games
25 Jun
0-1
@ South Africa
6-4
19 Jun
0-1
@ Mexico
2-0
12 Jun
2-1
vs Czechia
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How South Korea compare with the World: World Cup average, per match.

Goals for
1.53
Above average
Goals against
1.26
Tighter than most
Record
2W 0D 3L
5 settled
Real goals
0.6 – 0.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.53
Conceded1.26

The grey line on each bar is the World: World Cup average (1.33 scored, 1.38 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.53 xG per match · +0.20 above the World: World Cup average of 1.33.
Tough market: Goals (Over/Under)
South Korea matches give the model a harder read here — 1/5 (20%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

How Bawler has done on South Korea

20%
of high-confidence calls correct — 1 of 5, below the ~65% baseline — a hard team to read
Goals (Over/Under)20%1/5

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

More on South Korea and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly