South Korea vs Venezuela prediction — International friendlies · Fri 2 Oct · 12:00 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Fri 2 Oct · 12:00 UK · Neutral venue
South Korea 54Draw 25Venezuela 21
Our call before kickoff
79%
South Korea or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
52%

How it finished

South Korea and Venezuela drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured South Korea at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. South Korea had 7 shots (3 on target) to Venezuela's 12 (4), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.6.

South KoreaFull-time statsVenezuela
51%Possession49%
0.5Expected goals (xG)0.6
7Shots12
3Shots on target4
4Shots inside box5
2Big chances0
3Corners1
4Saves3
24Fouls14
3Offsides6
3Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSouth Korea or draw 79%Draw (25% called)
Total goals2.80
Both teams to score53%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

South KoreaVenezuela
1.8
Goals+0.8
1.0
South KoreaVenezuela
0.5
Goals+0.2
0.4
South KoreaVenezuela
1.2
Goals+0.6
0.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
South Korea to score83%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals70%
Venezuela to score63%

First half — what we expected

South Korea
54%
to score before half-time
Venezuela
36%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 1South Korea 1 · Draws 0 · Venezuela 0

Head to head

Sept 2014South Korea 3–1 Venezuela
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won South Korea vs Venezuela?

South Korea and Venezuela drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured South Korea at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. South Korea had 7 shots (3 on target) to Venezuela's 12 (4), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.6.

What was the final score in South Korea vs Venezuela?

South Korea 0–0 Venezuela, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with South Korea 54%, the draw 25% and Venezuela 21%.

What were the stats in South Korea vs Venezuela?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–0.6, Shots 7–12, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 4–5, Big chances 2–0, Corners 3–1, Saves 4–3, Fouls 24–14, Offsides 3–6, Yellow cards 3–1.

Did both teams score in South Korea vs Venezuela?

No. It finished 0–0, so South Korea failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for South Korea vs Venezuela right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said South Korea or draw 79%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Venezuela
Before this
28 SeptAJapan1–2 L
Next up
6 OctAJordan0–0 D
All fixtures & results →South Korea form →Venezuela form →