South Korea and Venezuela drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured South Korea at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. South Korea had 7 shots (3 on target) to Venezuela's 12 (4), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
South Korea and Venezuela drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured South Korea at 54% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. South Korea had 7 shots (3 on target) to Venezuela's 12 (4), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 0.6.
South Korea 0–0 Venezuela, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with South Korea 54%, the draw 25% and Venezuela 21%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–0.6, Shots 7–12, Shots on target 3–4, Shots inside box 4–5, Big chances 2–0, Corners 3–1, Saves 4–3, Fouls 24–14, Offsides 3–6, Yellow cards 3–1.
No. It finished 0–0, so South Korea failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said South Korea or draw 79%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No.