How it finished
Uruguay beat South Korea 4–1. Bawler's model favoured South Korea at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Uruguay 24%. It forecast 2.4 goals; the match produced 5. South Korea had 14 shots (7 on target) to Uruguay's 9 (4), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 65%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won South Korea vs Uruguay?
Uruguay beat South Korea 4–1. Bawler's model favoured South Korea at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Uruguay 24%. It forecast 2.4 goals; the match produced 5. South Korea had 14 shots (7 on target) to Uruguay's 9 (4), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.2.
What was the final score in South Korea vs Uruguay?
South Korea 1–4 Uruguay, played on 28 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with South Korea 48%, the draw 28% and Uruguay 24%.
What were the stats in South Korea vs Uruguay?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.2, Shots 14–9, Shots on target 7–4, Shots inside box 5–5, Big chances 1–3, Corners 8–1, Saves 1–6, Fouls 7–9, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in South Korea vs Uruguay?
Yes — both South Korea and Uruguay scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for South Korea vs Uruguay right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said South Korea or draw 76%, it finished Uruguay won (24% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished Yes.