South Korea vs Uzbekistan prediction — International friendlies · Tue 6 Oct · 12:00 UK

International friendlies · Tue 6 Oct · 12:00 UK
South Korea 55Draw 24Uzbekistan 21
Our call before kickoff
79%
South Korea or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
57%

How it finished

South Korea beat Uzbekistan 2–0. Bawler's model had South Korea in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. South Korea had 10 shots (6 on target) to Uzbekistan's 12 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.7.

South KoreaFull-time statsUzbekistan
46%Possession54%
1.1Expected goals (xG)0.7
10Shots12
6Shots on target4
4Shots inside box6
2Big chances1
2Corners5
4Saves4
14Fouls10
1Offsides2
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSouth Korea or draw 79%South Korea won (55% called)
Total goals3.02
Both teams to score57%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

South KoreaUzbekistan
1.9
Goals+0.8
1.1
South KoreaUzbekistan
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
South KoreaUzbekistan
1.3
Goals+0.6
0.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
South Korea to score85%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Uzbekistan to score67%
Under 3.5 goals65%

First half — what we expected

South Korea
57%
to score before half-time
Uzbekistan
38%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5South Korea 3 · Draws 2 · Uzbekistan 0

Head to head

Nov 2018South Korea 4–0 Uzbekistan
Sept 2017Uzbekistan 0–0 South Korea
Nov 2016South Korea 2–1 Uzbekistan
Mar 2015South Korea 1–1 Uzbekistan
Jan 2015South Korea 2–0 Uzbekistan
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won South Korea vs Uzbekistan?

South Korea beat Uzbekistan 2–0. Bawler's model had South Korea in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. South Korea had 10 shots (6 on target) to Uzbekistan's 12 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 0.7.

What was the final score in South Korea vs Uzbekistan?

South Korea 2–0 Uzbekistan, played on 06 Oct 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with South Korea 55%, the draw 24% and Uzbekistan 21%.

What were the stats in South Korea vs Uzbekistan?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–0.7, Shots 10–12, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 4–6, Big chances 2–1, Corners 2–5, Saves 4–4, Fouls 14–10, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in South Korea vs Uzbekistan?

No. It finished 2–0, so Uzbekistan failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for South Korea vs Uzbekistan right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said South Korea or draw 79%, it finished South Korea won (55% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →South Korea form →Uzbekistan form →