Bawler / GERMANY: Bundesliga / St. Pauli
Team profile

St. Pauli Prediction

Per-game numbers from 36 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
10.3
a game
12.6 faced
On target
3.4
a game
5.4 faced
Goals
0.9 – 1.8
scored – conceded
a game, 36 matches
Corners
4.7
a game
5.1 against

St. Pauli prediction: Bawler's model rates St. Pauli at 1.36 expected goals scored and 1.52 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 80% of the time. They have lost 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No St. Pauli fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

St. Pauli sit close to the Bundesliga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.36 expected goals a game and conceding 1.52. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.00 goals a game against 1.36 expected. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 5. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on St. Pauli have been correct 80% of the time.

St. Pauli in numbers

36 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.9
Goals · per game
let in 1.8
Home 1.0Away 0.8
4.7
Corners · per game
give up 5.1
Home 5.9Away 3.7
10.3
Shots · per game
faced 12.6
Home 10.5Away 10.0
3.4
On target · per game
faced 5.4
Home 4.2Away 2.7
Last 6 games
14 Aug
2-2
@ Holstein Kiel
5-5
09 Aug
1-1
vs Greuther Furth
-
16 May
1-3
vs Wolfsburg
8-9
09 May
1-2
@ RB Leipzig
5-3
03 May
1-2
vs Mainz
7-7
25 Apr
0-2
@ Heidenheim
6-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How St. Pauli compare with the GERMANY: Bundesliga average, per match.

Goals for
1.36
Below average
Goals against
1.52
Tighter than most
Record
0W 2D 3L
5 settled
Real goals
1.0 – 1.8
For / against, per match
Scored1.36
Conceded1.52

The grey line on each bar is the GERMANY: Bundesliga average (1.67 scored, 1.69 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.36 xG per match · -0.30 above the GERMANY: Bundesliga average of 1.67.
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.52 xG per match · -0.17 vs league average of 1.69.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on St. Pauli fixtures (4/4).

How Bawler has done on St. Pauli

80%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 5, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%4/4

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

More on St. Pauli and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly