Toulouse
Toulouse operate as a fragile attacking unit, averaging just 1.38 xG per match whilst shipping 1.66—a profile that makes them vulnerable to clinical opponents. Recent form has been inconsistent across four settled fixtures (2W-2L), though they secured back-to-back wins before the most recent loss. With no immediate fixture in the analysis window, the model's next opportunity to assess their trajectory comes shortly. Bawler's banker picks have connected at 75% across Toulouse matches, suggesting our defensive frailty alerts hold particular predictive value.
How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Toulouse were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the FRANCE: Ligue 1 average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Toulouse are above average there.
How to read this: the solid line is the goals Toulouse actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.
How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Toulouse's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.