How it finished
Lyon beat Toulouse 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Toulouse at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lyon 36%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Toulouse had 17 shots (2 on target) to Lyon's 11 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. On expected goals it was 2.6 to 0.6, so Toulouse created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Toulouse vs Lyon?
Lyon beat Toulouse 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Toulouse at 36% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lyon 36%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 2. Toulouse had 17 shots (2 on target) to Lyon's 11 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. On expected goals it was 2.6 to 0.6, so Toulouse created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Toulouse vs Lyon?
Toulouse 0–2 Lyon, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Toulouse 36%, the draw 28% and Lyon 36%.
What were the stats in Toulouse vs Lyon?
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–0.6, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 12–7, Big chances 4–0, Corners 6–5, Saves 1–2, Fouls 15–15, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Toulouse vs Lyon?
No. It finished 0–2, so Toulouse failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Toulouse vs Lyon right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Toulouse or draw 64%, it finished Lyon won (36% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 73%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.