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Bawler / GERMANY: Bundesliga / Union Berlin
Union Berlin crest

Union Berlin

GERMANY: Bundesliga

Union Berlin operate as a fundamentally constrained attacking side, generating just 1.45 xG per match while conceding 1.64—a defensive vulnerability that has materialised across recent form, yielding four settled results without a win (two draws, two losses). Their underlying profile suggests streaky performances dependent on clinical finishing rather than volume creation. With no imminent fixture in the current window, focus shifts to their next scheduled match, where Bawler's model will reassess their threat level against the opposition's defensive setup. The platform's perfect hit rate on Union banker picks (4/4) reflects strong predictive calibration on this team's constrained attacking profile.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.45-0.18 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.640.06 vs league
◇ = GERMANY: Bundesliga average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Union Berlin were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the GERMANY: Bundesliga average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Union Berlin are above average there.

> xG performance · last 4 matches
01234@ Bayern Munich: actual 0, xG 0.97vs St. Pauli: actual 1, xG 1.38vs Wolfsburg: actual 1, xG 2.03vs Koln: actual 2, xG 1.42@BayernSt. PaWolfsbKoln
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -1.8 goals vs xG (-0.45/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Union Berlin actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.45 xG per match · -0.18 above the GERMANY: Bundesliga average of 1.63.
Bawler's edge: Goals (Over/Under)
Banker picks in this market land 100% of the time on Union Berlin fixtures (3/3).
> Form · last 4
Overall: 0W / 2D / 2L · Avg goals 1.0 for, 2.3 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Union Berlin's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
4
4 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.45
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.64
per match
Banker Hit Rate
100%
4/4 picks

> Recent matches (last 4)

> More from Bawler