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Watford

FormLWLLL
79%
Our hit rate on WAT
14
Forecasts settled

Fixture run · next 3

Colour = model difficulty for Watford
CAR (A)
13 Oct
CHA (H)
17 Oct
WOL (A)
24 Oct

This season · per game

Bar = vs Championship average · 11 matches since 1 Jul 2026
14.4lge avg 13.4
Shots per game
4.5lge avg 4.3
Shots on target per game
0.8lge avg 1.4
Goals scored per game
1.7lge avg 1.4
Goals conceded per game
1.2lge avg 1.3
xG for per game
1.7lge avg 1.3
xG against per game
4.5lge avg 5.2
Corners per game
Next fixture · Tue 13 Oct 19:45
Cardiff CityCardiff CityvsWatfordWatford
High confidence · Over 1.5 goals80%
Watford win28%
Draw25%
Cardiff City win47%
Most likely score1-1 · 11%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams to scoreYes · 59%
Locked ~17:00 UK, before kickoffFull match preview →
Our record on Watford · settled in publicFull track record →
10 OctWatford v BurnleyOver 1.5 goals75%WON
18 SeptBristol City v WatfordOver 1.5 goals74%LOST
12 SeptWatford v StokeWatford or draw75%LOST
8 SeptWatford v PrestonOver 1.5 goals77%WON
WatfordWatford· continues from the hero above57 competitive matches · friendlies excluded · updated daily

Form · last 6

Newest first · click a tile for the settled forecast
LOSS0–4vs Burnley10 OctLOSS0–1@ Bristol City18 SeptLOSS1–2vs Stoke12 SeptWIN2–1vs Preston8 SeptLOSS0–1@ West Brom5 SeptLOSS0–2@ Swansea1 Sept
At home · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals1.31.4
Shots16.012.3
On target5.34.1
Corners5.34.8
Away · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals0.91.6
Shots11.712.5
On target3.44.6
Corners4.35.6
At home · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.60.7
Shots6.75.6
On target1.81.9
Corners1.92.5
28 of the 30 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.31.0
Shots5.36.0
On target1.42.1
Corners1.92.6
All 27 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
At home · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.60.6
Shots8.66.6
On target3.42.1
Corners3.22.5
28 of the 30 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.60.6
Shots6.46.5
On target2.12.4
Corners2.43.0
All 27 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.

Squad · 32 players

Coach Alessio Dionisi · from FotMob, 8 Oct 2026
Goalkeepers
Gabriel Ortelli20 · CYP
24Sam Walker35 · ENG
26Daniel Bachmann32 · AUT
Defenders
Joshua Mullins20 · ENG
2Jeremy Ngakia26 · COD
4Kévin Keben22 · CMR
6Matthew Pollock25 · ENG
+5 more
16Marc Bola28 · ENG
23Omar Traoré28 · GER
29Branimir Mlačić19 · CRO
53James Andrew Clarridge22 · ENG
56Albert Eames21 · ENG
Midfielders
Leo Ramirez-Espain20 · ENG
8Edoardo Bove24 · ITA
14Kwadwo Baah23 · ENG
17Iker Bravo21 · ESP
+3 more
22Martín Payero28 · ARG
33Jordan Zemura26 · ZIM
39Edo Kayembe28 · COD
Forwards
7Othmane Maamma21 · MAR
9Luca Kjerrumgaard23 · DEN
10Myron Boadu25 · NED
11Rocco Vata21 · IRL
18Michail Antonio36 · JAM
+5 more
19Nikoloz Chikovani19 · GEO
20Mamadou Doumbia20 · MLI
21Amin Nabizada19 · AFG
43Jack Grieves21 · ENG
45Stephy Mavididi28 · COD

Transfer desk · this window

All 27 moves →
INKrépin DiattaRB · from Free agentUndisclosed1 Oct
INMichail AntonioST · from Free agentUndisclosed11 Sept
OUTMichael Adu-PokuRW · to Newport CountyLoan2 Sept
INMyron BoaduST · from Free agentUndisclosed1 Sept
INStephy MavididiLW · from Leicester CityLoan1 Sept

Common questions

Who do Watford play next?

Watford play Cardiff City away on Tue 13 Oct 19:45 UK. The published call is over 1.5 goals, at 80%. Read the full match preview

What is the model's Watford v Cardiff City call?

High confidence: Over 1.5 goals, at 80%. The forecast is published and locked at about 17:00 UK, usually around two days before kickoff, so it can be graded afterwards. See every market for this fixture

How accurate has Bawler been on Watford?

11 of 14 settled Watford forecasts were right (79%). Every one was published before kickoff and graded in public. See the full track record

What are Watford averaging this season?

14.4 shots and 0.8 goals a game, conceding 1.7, counted over 11 competitive matches (since 1 Jul 2026) with friendlies excluded — every one a counted match result, not a projection. Compare it with the rest of the league

Who have Watford signed and sold?

27 confirmed moves in the current window. The newest in: Krépin Diatta, Michail Antonio, Myron Boadu, Stephy Mavididi. The newest out: Michael Adu-Poku. 1 of this club's moves have a written report. Follow the transfer desk

Watford moves we wrote up

1 written up · 26 more confirmed in the windowTransfer desk →
Out
Nestory IrankundaRM · to Sporting CP€15m15 Aug

The Watford fixtures after that

Win, draw and loss are Watford's own chances
DateFixtureWinDrawLossO/U 2.5BTTSStrongest call
Sat 17 Octvs Charlton45%28%27%Under 55%No 50%Under 2.5 goals 55%
Sat 24 Oct@ Wolverhampton16%23%62%Over 52%No 51%Wolverhampton to win 62%

Head-to-head · the fixtures ahead

Every recorded meeting, oriented to Watford
OpponentMetWDLLast meetingPreview
Cardiff City10424Cardiff City 1-1 Watford · Jan 2025Match preview →

Championship table

FotMob, 13 Oct 2026
#TeamPWDLGF-GAGDPts
1Swansea962115-7+820
2Middlesbrough953117-12+518
3West Ham944123-12+1116
4Stoke951315-13+216
5Wolves842215-11+414
6QPR935111-8+314
7Birmingham935113-11+214
8Millwall942316-15+114
9West Brom942310-9+114
10Bristol City942312-13-114
11Southampton952220-10+1013
12Charlton93428-11-313
13Blackburn933314-13+112
14Sheff Utd933312-11+112
15Wrexham925210-13-311
16Lincoln93247-11-411
17Bolton931512-17-510
18Norwich930617-19-29
19Portsmouth82249-11-28
20Watford92257-14-78
21Cardiff914411-14-37
22Burnley914413-17-47
23Derby91358-15-76
24Preston91178-16-84